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Showing posts from May, 2021

Better together: WarnerMedia and Discovery

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Oh, great, another streaming service. That might have been your reaction to the news that AT&T and Discovery are planning to merge their media assets together, to better take on the streaming giants of Netflix, Disney & Amazon. For the companies involved, this deal makes a lot of sense on paper. Both AT&T and Discovery, the former of which has a sprawling telecoms business, have seen relatively lackluster corporate performance in the last 5 years — which has been reflected in their share prices. This deal hopes to take the underperforming media assets from AT&T, which includes HBO, CNN and the Warner Bros. studio (responsible for Harry Potter and many other titles) and combine it with Discovery's relaxing cooking, home renovation and nature content. Although it may take a while to happen, presumably the plan is to merge the assets under one big streaming brand. That brand would have an ~80 million strong streaming subscriber base, with 15 million coming from Discove...
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Peloton's management of the Tread+ has been a disaster

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Today, Peloton announced that it's recalling all treadmills and its CEO John Foley finally apologized for not cooperating with the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC) sooner. Honestly, as an investor, I'm shocked the CEO has not resigned yet because his handling of this crisis has been a disaster. Peloton was the epitome of a Coroneconomy thriver. Its stock ~5X'd in 2020, as its connected home fitness products flew off shelves. It has been trying to expand beyond its spin bikes — so it launched treadmills. Those are causing major problems. In March, Peloton's CEO disclosed that a child had died in an accident involving a Tread+. The CPSC said people should stop using Peloton's Tread+ if small children or pets are at home. The CPSC cited 39 incidents involving a Tread+, including instances of children and pets getting sucked underneath it. So instead of following rule #1 of crisis management, i.e overcorrect, Peloton got defensive - the company called the ...
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China creates a digital currency, PayPal should be worried

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China just created its own digital currency: the digital yuan (digi-yuan). It's the first major world economy to launch an e-currency. China isn't just putting cash into a virtual bank account — it's minting cash digitally, turning legal tender into lines of code. For each digi-yuan it issues, it essentially cancels a paper yuan. Unlike a cryptocurrency, digi-yuan is a state-backed currency controlled by China's central bank (like how the US $ is backed by the US gov't and controlled by the Fed). Also, unlike crypto and cash, there's no anonymity with digi-yuan. The Chinese government knows where your yuan has been. Digi-yuan gives China not more money control but also more control over everything. For example, it is testing digi-yuan expiration dates that could encourage people to spend within a certain time frame (to support economic stimulus). China uses hundreds of millions of facial recognition cameras to surveil and fine citizens for things like jaywalking...
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Popular posts from this blog

The business of calm

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Last week was a long one. The stress of the election coupled with the pandemic has a lot of us looking for ways to relieve anxiety and invest in wellness from the comfort of home. Increasingly, many are resorting to mental health and meditation apps. Calm, a meditation app, topped Apple's health and fitness category on Election Day — and other mindfulness apps like Headspace weren't far behind.  Why are these apps popular? The anxiety-inducing times, along with poor access to mental healthcare and high smart phone penetration are big contributing factors. However, these are not the only ones. For me, the biggest factor is that the companies making these apps have finally figured out that they are content creators and not just app makers. The features that were available through these apps 5 years ago were a lot more rudimentary compared to what we have today, and so was the content. These apps have heavily invested in improving their content. It's telling that the biggest a...
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SPAC: Why many unicorns won't hop on the SPAC wagon

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2020 has certainly been the year of blank check acquisition companies - or SPACs.  That's how Nikola- the sexy electric truck shop-, Utz - the iconic snacks company- and Virgin Galactic went public earlier in the year. Plus, it's also how electric vehicle makers Fisker, Canoo, and Lordstown Motors announced they will go public. Plus Plus, famous investor Bill Ackman recently took his SPAC (Pershing Square Tontine) public in the largest-ever blank-check IPO (it raised A whopping $4B). The objective is to buy a mature unicorn. Ackman actually said Pershing might buy a “mature unicorn” 6 times in the filing. However not all private companies are psyched about merging with SPACs to go public. Airbnb reportedly turned down an offer to merge with Bill Ackman's SPAC, saying it prefers going public via traditional. Airbnb isn't alone. Snowflake, Slack, Shopify and BigCommerce are other flashy SPACs that declined the backdoor to going public and opted for the front door through...
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Why the stock market is beating expectations

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  In the early stages of the pandemic, the S&P 500 index dropped a third of its value. Since then it has roared back, soaring more than 50 percent from its low in late March and setting an all-time high last week. This seems very implausible when set against the current state of the economy and the ongoing devastation caused by the pandemic. So why is the stock market rallying in the face of a pandemic and bad economic news? Several explanations are plausible. The stock market is not the economy: The stock market represents publicly traded companies only; it’s not the whole market. Most importantly, it’s always forward looking; i.e. it’s an indicator of the future earnings of those companies and how they would fare in the future. A rising stock market indicates that investors think these companies will do better in the future. On the other hand, a falling stock indicates that investors are pessimistic about the future earnings of companies. Continued income support for the ec...
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